The questionnaire used by telephone interviewers for Wave 1 of the panel study follows below in full:

BYU/UW 2004 Panel Election Study
DRAFT
WAVE 1

“Hello, my name is ___________ calling on behalf of the University of Wisconsin. We’re conducting a critical study to help understand the feelings of people today. The study is not being used by any political campaign, but for academic research only. Today we have a few questions which will take about 15-20 minutes to answer. Your responses will be completely confidential.

For this survey, I’d like to speak with the adult in the household who had the most recent birthday. Is that you?

{If soft refusal} Your household has been specially selected so your opinions are very important to us.

Q1. How likely are you to vote in this fall’s election for President of the United States and Congress? Would you say you…
1. Definitely will vote
2. Probably will vote
3. May or may not vote
4. Definitely will not vote
5. Don’t know/Refused

Q2. Are you registered to vote in this election?
1. Yes
2. No
3. Voters are not required to register
4. Don’t know
5. Not Available

Q3. Do you think things in the United States are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten off on the wrong track?
1. Right direction
2. Wrong track
3. Don’t know/Refused

Q4. What do you think is the most important problem facing the United States?
1. Abortion
2. Civil Liberties (Includes Patriot Act)
3. Crime
4. Defense/ Military
5. Deficit
6. Economy
7. Education
8. Environment
9. Foreign Policy
10. Gas Prices
11. Gay Marriage
12. Government Ethics (Politicians Lying)
13. Government Spending
14. Gun Control
15. Healthcare
16. Homeland Security
17. Immigration
18. International Trade/Globalization
19. IRAQ/War in
20. Israel
21. Jobs
22. Middle East (Not Israel)
23. Moral/Religious Values
24. National security
25. Prescription drugs
26. September 11
27. Social Security
28. Special Interests
29. Stem Cells
30. Taxes
31. Terrorism
32. Veterans
33. Welfare
34. Other

Q5. Generally speaking, how much attention do you pay to what’s going on in government and politics…
1. A great deal,
2. Quite a bit,
3. Some,
4. Very little,
5. Or none?
6. Don’t know/Refused

Q7. How would you rate the overall job President George W. Bush is doing as president: Excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?
1. Excellent
2. Pretty Good
3. Only Fair
4. Poor
5. Don’t know/Refused

Q7a. Think of George W. Bush. In your opinion, does the phrase < insert each one below> describe George W. Bush…

1. EXTREMELY WELL 2. QUITE WELL 3. NOT TOO WELL 4. NOT WELL AT ALL 5. DK/Refused

cares about people like me,
shares my values,
is a strong leader,
changes his mind too often

Q7b. Think about John Kerry. In your opinion, does the phrase < insert each one below> describe John Kerry…

1. EXTREMELY WELL 2. QUITE WELL 3. NOT TOO WELL 4. NOT WELL AT ALL 5. DK/Refused

cares about people like me,
shares my values,
is a strong leader,
changes his mind too often

Q8. What sort of job do you think SENATOR A is doing as a United States Senator? Do you think he is doing an excellent job, a good job, a fair job, or a poor job?
1. Excellent
2. Good
3. Fair
4. Poor
5. Don’t know/Refused

Q9. What sort of job do you think SENATOR B is doing as a United States Senator? Do you think he is doing an excellent job, a good job, a fair job, or a poor job?
1. Excellent
2. Good
3. Fair
4. Poor
5. Don’t know/Refused

I'm going to name some people in the news and ask what you think of them. If you haven't heard much about someone I name, just tell me. Is your opinion of [George W. Bush] very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, very unfavorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about [George W. Bush] yet to have an opinion?
1. Very Favorable
2. Somewhat Favorable
3. Somewhat Unfavorable
4. Very Unfavorable
5. Undecided
6. Haven’t heard enough yet
7. Refused

Q10. George W. Bush

Q11. GOP SENATE CANDIDATE **Only asked in states with Senate Races

Q12. DEMOCRATIC SENATE CANDIDATE **Only asked in states with Senate Races

Q13. John Kerry

Q14. If the election for President were held today, who would you vote for? Republican George W. Bush or Democrat John Kerry? ROTATE
1. Bush
2. Kerry
3. Undecided
4. Don’t know/Refused

Q15. Are you very certain about voting for <Q14> or might you change your mind before Election Day?
1. Very certain
2. Might change
3. Undecided
4. Don’t know/Refused

[IF <Q14> = ‘UNDECIDED’, ASK Q16]

Q16. At this moment, do you lean towards any of the candidates?
1. George W. Bush
2. John Kerry
3. Undecided
4. Don’t know/Refused

Q17. If the election for U.S. Senate were held today, who would you vote for? Republican GOP CANDIDATE or Democrat DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE?
ROTATE **Only asked in states with Senate Races
1. GOP CANDIDATE
2. DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE
3. Undecided
4. Don’t know/Refused

Q18. Are you very certain about voting for <Q17> or might you change your mind before Election Day? **Only asked in states with Senate Races
1. Very certain
2. Might change
3. Undecided
4. Don’t know/Refused

[IF <Q17> = ‘UNDECIDED’, ASK Q19]

Q19. At this moment, do you lean towards any of the candidates?
1. GOP CANDIDATE
2. DEMOCRATIC CANDIDATE
3. Undecided
4. Don’t know/Refused

Q20. If the election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democrat in your district or the Republican in your district?
1. Democrat
2. Republican
3. Undecided
4. Don’t know/Refused

Q21. Are you very certain about voting for <Q20> or might you change your mind before Election Day?
1. Very certain
2. Might change
3. Undecided
4. Don’t know/Refused

[IF <Q20> = ‘UNDECIDED’, ASK Q22]

Q22. At this moment, do you lean towards any of the candidates?
1. Democrat
2. Republican
3. Undecided
4. Don’t know/Refused

Q22a. Which comes closest to your view:
1. Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry or
2. Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry or
3. There should be no legal recognition of a gay couples relationship?
4. Don’t know/Refused

Q22b. Which one of the opinions best agrees with your view?"
1. By law, abortion should never be permitted
2. The law should permit abortion only in case of rape, incest, or when the woman's life is in danger.
3. The law should permit abortion for reasons other than rape, incest, or danger to the woman's life, but only after the need for the abortion has been clearly established.
4. By law, a woman should always be able to obtain an abortion as a matter of personal choice.
5. Don’t know/Refused

Q23. How much of the time do you think you can trust the government in Washington to do what is right? Just about always, most of the time, or only some of the time?
1. Just about always
2. Most of the time
3. Only some of the time
4. Don’t know/Refused

Q24. Thinking about the candidates for President, do you feel that most people have enough accurate information about them to make a fair and reasonable decision on who to vote for?
1. Yes
2. No
3. Don’t know/Refused

Q25. So far has the campaign for President made you feel more confident that campaigns are truthful and fair, less confident that campaigns are truthful and fair, or did the campaign have no effect on your opinion?
1. More confident
2. Less confident
3. No effect
4. Don’t know/Refused

I now have some questions about popular television shows you may or may not watch. Please tell us how many days in the past week you watched each program. If you don’t watch the program, it’s fine to tell us none. RANDOMIZE ORDER OF QUESTIONS

Q26. How many days in the past week did you watch the TV program Jeopardy?
Range: 0-7

Q27. How many days in the past week did you watch Wheel of Fortune?
Range: 0-7

Q28. How many days in the past week did you watch morning news shows such as The Today Show, Good Morning America, The Early Show, or The Fox Morning News?
Range: 0-7

Q29. How many days in the past week did you watch prime-time news magazines, such as 60 Minutes, 20/20, Dateline, or Prime Time Live?
Range: 0-7

Q30. How many days in the past week did you watch a network daytime soap opera?
Range: 0-7

Q31. How many days in the past week did you watch a daytime talk show such as Dr. Phil or Oprah?
Range: 0-7

Q32. Thinking back to last week, how many hours of television did you watch during a typical weekday from 7:00am to 10:00am?
1. None
2. Less than 1 hour
3. 1 to less than 2 hours
4. 2 to less than 3 hours
5. 3 hours

Q33. And thinking back to last week, how many hours of television did you watch during a typical weekday from 10:00am to 4:00 in the afternoon?
1. None
2. Less than 1 hour
3. 1 to less than 2 hours
4. 2 to less than 3 hours
5. 3 to less than 4 hours
6. 4 to less than 5 hours
7. 5 to 6 hours

Q34. Again, thinking back to last week, how many hours of television did you watch during a typical weekday from 4:00 in the afternoon to 8:00 in the evening?
1. None
2. Less than 1 hour
3. 1 to less than 2 hours
4. 2 to less than 3 hours
5. 3 to less than 4 hours
6. 4 hours

Q35. And thinking back to last week, how many hours of television did you watch during a typical weekday from 8:00 to 11:00pm?
1. None
2. Less than 1 hour
3. 1 to less than 2 hours
4. 2 to less than 3 hours
5. 3 hours

Q36. How many days in the past week did you watch the early local evening news at 5 or 6pm?
Range: 0-7

[IF Q36>0, THEN ASK Q37]

Q37. Which station’s early local news do you watch most often?
NOTE: Here we will have a SAMVAR for DMA number. Depending upon which DMA the respondent lives in, a set of 2 to 4 TV channels will be listed here. The respondent is to select one. The columns describing the stations should be labeled as follows:
1. Station One
2. Station Two
3. Station Three
4. Station Four

Q38. How many days in the past week did you watch the local nightly news at 10 or 11pm?
Range: 0-7

[IF Q38>0, THEN ASK Q39]

Q39. Which station’s nightly local news do you watch most often?
NOTE: Here we will have a SAMVAR for DMA number. Depending upon which DMA the respondent lives in, a set of 2 to 4 TV channels will be listed here. The respondent is to select one. The columns describing the stations should be labeled as follows:
1. Station One
2. Station Two
3. Station Three
4. Station Four

Q40. How many days in the past week did you watch the local news at 12 o’clock noon?
1. None
2. One day
3. Two days
4. Three days
5. Four days
6. Five days
7. Six days
8. Every day

Q41. How many days in the past week did you read the newspaper?
Range: 0-7

Q41a. On average, how many hours a day do you listen to the radio?

Q41b. What radio station would you say you listen to the most?
Ask for call letters of the radio station.

Q42. In the last week, what have you read, seen, or heard about George W. Bush?

Q43. In the last week, what have you read, seen, or heard about John Kerry?

DO NOT READ CHOICES AFTER QUESTION
Q44a. Which topic would you say the Democrats are talking about the most during the campaign?
35. Abortion
36. Civil Liberties (Includes Patriot Act)
37. Crime
38. Defense/ Military
39. Deficit
40. Economy
41. Education
42. Environment
43. Foreign Policy
44. Gas Prices
45. Gay Marriage
46. Government Ethics (Politicians Lying)
47. Government Spending
48. Gun Control
49. Healthcare
50. Homeland Security
51. Immigration
52. International Trade/Globalization
53. IRAQ/War in
54. Israel
55. Jobs
56. Middle East (Not Israel)
57. Moral/Religious Values
58. National security
59. Prescription drugs
60. September 11
61. Social Security
62. Special Interests
63. Stem Cells
64. Taxes
65. Terrorism
66. Veterans
67. Welfare
68. Other

Q44b. Which topic would you say the Republicans are talking about the most during the campaign?
1. Abortion
2. Civil Liberties (Includes Patriot Act)
3. Crime
4. Defense/ Military
5. Deficit
6. Economy
7. Education
8. Environment
9. Foreign Policy
10. Gas Prices
11. Gay Marriage
12. Government Ethics (Politicians Lying)
13. Government Spending
14. Gun Control
15. Healthcare
16. Homeland Security
17. Immigration
18. International Trade/Globalization
19. IRAQ/War in
20. Israel
21. Jobs
22. Middle East (Not Israel)
23. Moral/Religious Values
24. National security
25. Prescription drugs
26. September 11
27. Social Security
28. Special Interests
29. Stem Cells
30. Taxes
31. Terrorism
32. Veterans
33. Welfare
34. Other

Q44. Which topic would you say Senator Kerry is talking about the most during the campaign?
1. Abortion
2. Civil Liberties (Includes Patriot Act)
3. Crime
4. Defense/ Military
5. Deficit
6. Economy
7. Education
8. Environment
9. Foreign Policy
10. Gas Prices
11. Gay Marriage
12. Government Ethics (Politicians Lying)
13. Government Spending
14. Gun Control
15. Healthcare
16. Homeland Security
17. Immigration
18. International Trade/Globalization
19. IRAQ/War in
20. Israel
21. Jobs
22. Middle East (Not Israel)
23. Moral/Religious Values
24. National security
25. Prescription drugs
26. September 11
27. Social Security
28. Special Interests
29. Stem Cells
30. Taxes
31. Terrorism
32. Veterans
33. Welfare
34. Other

Q46. Which topic would you say President Bush is talking about the most during the campaign?
1. Abortion
2. Civil Liberties (Includes Patriot Act)
3. Crime
4. Defense/ Military
5. Deficit
6. Economy
7. Education
8. Environment
9. Foreign Policy
10. Gas Prices
11. Gay Marriage
12. Government Ethics (Politicians Lying)
13. Government Spending
14. Gun Control
15. Healthcare
16. Homeland Security
17. Immigration
18. International Trade/Globalization
19. IRAQ/War in
20. Israel
21. Jobs
22. Middle East (Not Israel)
23. Moral/Religious Values
24. National security
25. Prescription drugs
26. September 11
27. Social Security
28. Special Interests
29. Stem Cells
30. Taxes
31. Terrorism
32. Veterans
33. Welfare
34. Other

Q48. Which of topic would you say [DEM SENATE CANDIDATE NAME] has talked about the most during the campaign? **Only asked in states with Senate Races
1. Abortion
2. Civil Liberties (Includes Patriot Act)
3. Crime
4. Defense/ Military
5. Deficit
6. Economy
7. Education
8. Environment
9. Foreign Policy
10. Gas Prices
11. Gay Marriage
12. Government Ethics (Politicians Lying)
13. Government Spending
14. Gun Control
15. Healthcare
16. Homeland Security
17. Immigration
18. International Trade/Globalization
19. IRAQ/War in
20. Israel
21. Jobs
22. Middle East (Not Israel)
23. Moral/Religious Values
24. National security
25. Prescription drugs
26. September 11
27. Social Security
28. Special Interests
29. Stem Cells
30. Taxes
31. Terrorism
32. Veterans
33. Welfare
34. Other

Q49. Which topic would you say [REP SENATE CANDIDATE NAME] has talked about the most during the campaign? **Only asked in states with Senate Races
1. Abortion
2. Civil Liberties (Includes Patriot Act)
3. Crime
4. Defense/ Military
5. Deficit
6. Economy
7. Education
8. Environment
9. Foreign Policy
10. Gas Prices
11. Gay Marriage
12. Government Ethics (Politicians Lying)
13. Government Spending
14. Gun Control
15. Healthcare
16. Homeland Security
17. Immigration
18. International Trade/Globalization
19. IRAQ/War in
20. Israel
21. Jobs
22. Middle East (Not Israel)
23. Moral/Religious Values
24. National security
25. Prescription drugs
26. September 11
27. Social Security
28. Special Interests
29. Stem Cells
30. Taxes
31. Terrorism
32. Veterans
33. Welfare
34. Other

Now, we have a series of questions about any contact you may have had last week from the two parties or campaign organizations on behalf of any candidate. Please tell us whether you have been contacted in this way during the last week. Have you…

Q50. Received a letter or mail piece from a campaign?

Q51. Received a request to donate money to a campaign?

Q52. Had a face-to-face conversation or contact with someone from a campaign?

Q53. Received a phone call from a campaign?

Q54. Received an email from a campaign?

Q55. Heard a radio ad from a campaign?

Q56. Do you think there are any important differences in what the Republicans and Democrats stand for?
1. Yes, there are differences
2. No, there are not differences

Q57. We are interested in how people are getting along financially these days. Would you say that you (and your family that live in the area) are better off, worse off, or just about the same financially as you were a year ago?
1. Worse off
2. About the same
3. Better off

[IF Q57=BETTER OFF, THEN ASK Q58]

Q58. Much better, or somewhat better?
1. Much better
2. Somewhat better

[IF Q57=WORSE OFF, THEN ASK Q59]

Q59. Much worse, or somewhat worse?
1. Somewhat worse
2. Much worse

Q60. Now thinking about the economy in the country as a whole, would you say that over the past year the nation’s economy has gotten worse, stayed about the same, or gotten better?
1. Gotten worse
2. Stayed about the same
3. Gotten better

[IF Q60=GOTTEN BETTER, THEN ASK Q61]

Q61. Much better, or somewhat better?
1. Much better
2. Somewhat better

[IF Q60=GOTTEN WORSE, THEN ASK Q62]

Q62. Much worse, or somewhat worse?
1. Somewhat worse
2. Much worse

Q64. Now, just a few questions simply for statistical purposes. Again, all of your answers will be kept strictly confidential. Generally speaking, do you consider yourself a Republican, a Democrat, an Independent, or something else?
1. Republican
2. Democrat
3. Independent
4. Other preference/No preference
5. Don’t know/Refused

[IF Q64=REPUBLICAN, THEN ASK Q65]

Q65. Would you call yourself a strong Republican or a not very strong Republican?
1. Strong
2. Not strong
3. Don’t know/Refused

[IF Q64=DEMOCRAT, THEN ASK Q66]

Q66. Would you call yourself a strong Democrat or a not very strong Democrat?
1. Strong
2. Not strong
3. Don’t know/Refused

[IF Q64=INDEPENDENT/OTHER PARTY/NO PREFERENCE, THEN ASK Q67]

Q67. Do you think of yourself as closer to the Republican Party or to the Democratic Party?
1. Republican
2. Democrat
3. Neither, “Just Independent”
4. Don’t know/Refused

Q68. How about your political views? Do you consider yourself generally liberal, moderate, or conservative?
1. Liberal
2. Moderate
3. Conservative
4. Terms don’t apply [VOLUNTEERED]
5. Don’t know/Refused

Q69. In what year were you born?
[ENTER YEAR: 4 DIGITS]
[4 DIGITS; REFUSED=9999]

Q70. What is the highest level of education you completed?
1. Elementary school only
2. Some high school, did not finish
3. Completed high school
4. Some college, didn’t finish
5. 2 year college degree/A.A./A.S.
6. 4 year college degree/B.A./B.S.
7. Some graduate work
8. Completed Masters or Professional degree
9. Advanced graduate work or P.H.D.
10. Don’t know/Refused

Q71. How would you describe your employment status? Are you employed full time, employed part time, looking for work, a student, a homemaker, or retired?
1. Employed full time
2. Employed part time
3. Unemployed/Looking for work
4. Student
5. Homemaker
6. Retired
7. Don’t know/Refused

Q72. Are you or any member of your household a member of a local or national labor union?
1. Yes
2. No
3. Don’t know/Refused

Q73. Are you or is any member of your household a gun owner?
1. Yes
2. No
3. Don’t know/Refused

Q74. Are you currently married, widowed, divorced, separated, or have you never been married?
1. Married
2. Widowed
3. Divorced
4. Separated
5. Never been married
6. Don’t know/Refused

Q74a. What, if any, is your religious preference?
1. Protestant
2. Catholic
3. Jewish
4. LDS/Mormon
5. Other
6. No Preference/No religious affiliation
7. Prefer not to say

[If Q74a is Protest than ask Q74b]
Q74b. Do you consider yourself to be a Born-Again or Evangelical Christian?
1. Yes
2. No

Q75. Would you describe yourself as…
[Open-end: Hardcode]
1. White,
2. [READ ONE] African American or Black,
3. Asian, [INCLUDING SOUTH ASIAN AND PACIFIC ISLANDER]
4. Hispanic,
5. American Indian? [ALSO CALLED NATIVE AMERICAN]
6. OTHER [SPECIFY]
7. DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

Now we have a set of questions concerning various public figures. We want to see how much information about them gets out to the public from television, newspapers and the like.

[Don’t Read Punches]
Q76. The first name is BILL FRIST. What job or political office does he NOW hold?
1. Senate Majority Leader
2. Other
3. DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

[Don’t Read Punches]
Q77. WILLIAM REHNQUIST
1. Chief Justice of the Supreme Court
2. Other
3. DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

[Don’t Read Punches]
Q78. TONY BLAIR
1. Prime Minister of Great Britain
2. Other
3. DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

[Don’t Read Punches]
Q79. JOHN ASHCROFT
1. United States Attorney General
2. Other
3. DON’T KNOW/REFUSED

Can I ask your first name, so that we can speak to you again?